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Portugal: Geht der Anschluss verloren?

Author

Listed:
  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze

Abstract

In Portugal hat der Aufholprozess gegenüber dem Durchschnitt der EU-Länder 2001 keine weiteren Fortschritte gemacht, das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt nahm mit 1,8% nur geringfügig stärker zu als der EU-Mittelwert. Die Arbeitslosenquote verharrte im Jahresdurchschnitt bei 4,1%. Die Teuerungsrate erreichte 4,4%. 2002 wird das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt voraussichtlich nur um 1% expandieren. Auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verschlechtert sich die Situation. Die Arbeitslosenquote dürfte im Jahresdurchschnitt auf knapp 5% steigen, die Konsumentenpreise um gut 3¼% über dem Niveau des Vorjahres liegen. 2003 wird sich das BIP um knapp 2% erhöhen. Die Arbeitslosenquote wird sich auf rund 5½% ausweiten und die Preise das Niveau von 2002 um knapp 3% übersteigen.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze, 2002. "Portugal: Geht der Anschluss verloren?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 55(12), pages 26-34, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:55:y:2002:i:12:p:26-34
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Wirtschafslage; Sozialprodukt; Portugal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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