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Italien

Author

Listed:
  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze

Abstract

1995 expandierte das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) um 3 %. Hauptstützen waren der Export und die Investitionsgüterindustrie. 1996 haben die Auftriebskräfte stark nachgelassen. Bei einer allmählichen Belebung im weiteren Jahresverlauf kann mit einer Zunahme des realen BIP von etwa 1 % gerechnet werden. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verschlechtert sich jedoch weiter. Auch 1997 werden hohe Realzinsen und die wachsende Staatsverschuldung einer durchgreifenden konjunkturellen Erholung im Wege stehen, so daß sich das reale BIP vermutlich nur um annähernd 2 % erhöhen wird. Dies reicht nicht aus, um die Arbeitslosigkeit nennenswert abzubauen.

Suggested Citation

  • Oscar-Erich Kuntze, 1996. "Italien," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 49(20), pages 23-34, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:49:y:1996:i:20:p:23-34
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