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ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2021: Lieferengpässe in der Industrie bremsen gesamtwirtschaftliche Erholung

Author

Listed:
  • Timo Wollmershäuser
  • Przemyslaw Brandt
  • Christian Grimme
  • Max Lay
  • Robert Lehmann
  • Sebastian Link
  • Sascha Möhrle
  • Pauliina Sandqvist
  • Radek Šauer
  • Marc Stöckli
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

Abstract

Die Konjunktur in Deutschland ist derzeit gespalten. Während sich die kontaktintensiven Dienstleistungsbereiche kräftig von der Coronakrise erholen, schrumpft die Wertschöpfung im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe infolge von Lieferengpässen bei wichtigen industriellen Vorprodukten. Das Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte in diesem Jahr um 2,5% zulegen und im kommenden Jahr um 5,1%. Im Vergleich zur ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2021 wurde damit die Wachstumsrate für das Jahr 2021 um 0,8 Prozentpunkte gesenkt und für das Jahr 2022 um 0,8 Prozentpunkte angehoben.

Suggested Citation

  • Timo Wollmershäuser & Przemyslaw Brandt & Christian Grimme & Max Lay & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Sascha Möhrle & Pauliina Sandqvist & Radek Šauer & Marc Stöckli & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2021. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Herbst 2021: Lieferengpässe in der Industrie bremsen gesamtwirtschaftliche Erholung," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 2(13), pages 01-12, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdd:v:2:y:2021:i:13:p:01-12
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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