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Perspektiven 2005/2006 für Deutschland : weiter schleppende Erholung

Author

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

In Deutschland wird die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion im Jahresdurchschnitt 2005 um 0,8 % zunehmen. Im Laufe des kommenden Jahres dürfte die Ausfuhr wegen der ruhigeren Gangart der Weltkonjunktur etwas an Schwung verlieren, die Binnennachfrage jedoch leicht anziehen. Vor allem die Ausrüstungsinvestitionen dürften etwas rascher zunehmen; da die Kapazitätsauslastung in den binnenwirtschaftlich orientierten Branchen aber niedrig bleibt, ist der Investitionsaufschwung nur moderat. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt dürfte im Jahr 2006 um 1,2 % steigen. Für eine durchgreifende Wende am Arbeitsmarkt reicht dieses Expansionstempo nicht aus.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2005. "Perspektiven 2005/2006 für Deutschland : weiter schleppende Erholung," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 12(06), pages .10-14, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:12:y:2005:i:06:p:s.10-14
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    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Sozialprodukt; Beschäftigung; Deutschland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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