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Random walks and half-lives in Chilean and Mexican peso real exchange rates: 1980-2003

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Abstract

Several papers have shown that high-inflation contributes to mean reversion in real exchange rates. This paper studies the Chilean peso (CLP) and Mexican peso (MXN) real exchange rates : over 1980-2003. Three datasets are used: two with quarterly and monthly bilateral data (against the U.S. dollar) with consumer and producer price indices and another with monthly real : effective rate exchange rates (REER). Unit root tests do not reject the root in levels for both : currencies. Half-lives, however, contrast markedly: at 5 years or infinity for the Chilean peso and between 1 and 3 years for the Mexican peso. These findings suggest that the sharp : depreciations in MXN and Mexico's relatively higher inflation record may have amplified : monetary forces in the dynamics of the real exchange rates. :

Suggested Citation

  • André Varella Mollick, 2007. "Random walks and half-lives in Chilean and Mexican peso real exchange rates: 1980-2003," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 10, pages 185-211, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:cem:jaecon:v:10:y:2007:n:1:p:185-211
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    Cited by:

    1. Fullerton Jr., Thomas M. & Fierro, Karen P. & Villalobos, Emmanuel, 2009. "Cross-border restaurant price and exchange rate interactions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 281-288, December.
    2. Andre Varella Mollick, 2016. "Adoption of the Gold Standard and Real Exchange Rates in the Core and Periphery, 1870–1913," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 89-107, April.
    3. D. Ventosa-Santaul a & M. G -Zald & F. H. Wallace, 2015. "The real exchange rate, regime changes and volatility shifts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(24), pages 2445-2454, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ARMA models; half-lives; random walks; real exchange rates; unit roots;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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