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Nonlinear Reaction functions: Evidence from India

Author

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  • Taufeeq Ajaz

    (SMVD University, Katra Jammu, 182320 and School of Economics, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, India)

Abstract

This paper uses time-series data from India and tests for asymmetries in policy preferences of the Reserve Bank of India (the Central Bank of India, hereafter RBI). The results show evidence in favour of preference asymmetries in monetary policy reaction function in India and hence nonlinearities in the Taylor-rule. Evidence of both recession avoidance preference (RAP) as well as inflation avoidance preference (IAP) is established. And it is found that RAP is dominant over IAP, thus confirming nonlinearities in reaction function which in the present case turns out to be concave in inflation and output gap. Further, the results indicate preference asymmetries in both the objectives. The coefficient weights to positive and negative inflation and output gap differ over long time horizons thus confirming asymmetric policy preferences. Specifically the RBI seems to be more averse to a negative output gap (contraction) as compared to an equal positive gap. In addition, the RBI appears to be more averse to a positive inflation gap as compared to an equal negative gap.

Suggested Citation

  • Taufeeq Ajaz, 2019. "Nonlinear Reaction functions: Evidence from India," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(1), pages 111-132.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:8:y:2019:i:1:p:111-132
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    File URL: http://www.cbcg.me/repec/cbk/journl/vol8no1-6.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Patricks Ogiji & Tersoo Shimonkabir Shitile & Nuruddeen Usman, 2022. "Estimating asymmetries in monetary policy reaction function: an oil price augmented Taylor type rule for Nigeria under unconventional regime," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 1655-1672, August.
    2. Ismet Gocer & Serdar Ongan, 2020. "The Relationship between Inflation and Interest Rates in the UK: The Nonlinear ARDL Approach," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(3), pages 77-86.
    3. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Krishna MC, 2020. "Econophysical bourse volatility – Global Evidence," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(2), pages 87-107.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Reaction function; Taylor-rule; Preference asymmetry; Output gap; Inflation gap.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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