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Who put the Holes in the Swiss Cheese? Currency Crisis Under Appreciation Pressure

Author

Listed:
  • Kristin Berthold

    (University of Applied Sciences Erfurt, Faculty of Business and Economics, Erfurt, Germany)

  • Georg Stadtmann

    (European University Viadrina, Faculty of Business and Economics, Chair of Macroeconomics, Frankfurt (Oder), Germany)

Abstract

We examine the reasons why the SNB gave up the lower floor of the 1.20 CHF/EUR exchange rate arrangement. Three types of shocks played a role: Exogenous shocks to the autonomous component of money demand, interest rate decreases of the ECB, as well as appreciation expectations. In order to defend these shocks, the SNB intervened heavily in the foreign exchange market. This led to an accumulation of reserves in the central bank’s balance sheet of the size of 80% of Swiss GDP. Interestingly, the SNB did not lower the interest rate into the negative range during the time period where the peg was in place. Hence, the SNB did not do ”whatever it takes” to defend the peg.

Suggested Citation

  • Kristin Berthold & Georg Stadtmann, 2018. "Who put the Holes in the Swiss Cheese? Currency Crisis Under Appreciation Pressure," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 7(1), pages 43-57.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:7:y:2018:i:1:p:43-57
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    File URL: http://www.cbcg.me/repec/cbk/journl/vol7no1-3.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kämpf, Vanessa & Stadtmann, Georg & Zimmermann, Lilli, 2023. "Swiss National Bank: Is the recent loss a threat to monetary policy? A research note," Discussion Papers 429, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.
    2. Mahdi Yazdani & Mohammad Nikzad, 2021. "Output Losses from Currency Crises and the Role of Central Bank," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 10(3), pages 79-97.
    3. Berthold, Kristin & Stadtmann, Georg, 2018. "The fear of float of the Swiss National Bank," Discussion Papers 404, European University Viadrina Frankfurt (Oder), Department of Business Administration and Economics.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange market; Swiss crisis; UIP; Currency crisis.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

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