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L’évolution de la fréquentation touristique de La Réunion au regard de la détection de ruptures structurelles

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  • Jean-François Hoarau

Abstract

This article aims at studying the performance of the international tourism attractiveness of La Reunion in the long-run. To this regard, we use both stylized facts and time series modelling to detect potential growth regimes into the dynamics of La Reunion’s international tourism arrivals over the period 1981-2019. Our results state that this French overseas destination is locked in a structural regime of stagnation since the beginning of the 2000’s. This finding can be explained by both exogenous shocks and faulty domestic economic policies. Finally, an economic strategy based on a strong dependence on international tourism is too risky to be considered as a sustainable model for this territory.

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  • Jean-François Hoarau, 2023. "L’évolution de la fréquentation touristique de La Réunion au regard de la détection de ruptures structurelles," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 155-196.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:rferfe:rfe_233_0155
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