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Le commerce extérieur français à la dérive ?

Author

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  • Marion Cochard

Abstract

This paper deals with recent developments in foreign trade and notably with the fall of the French market shares. We first describe the deterioration of the French external trade since the beginning of the 2000?s. We show that within the euro zone, Germany is the exception rather than France, and that the difference between both countries cannot be explained by geographical or sector specialization. We analyse then different competitiveness indicators. We show that French companies succeed in containing prices by reducing margins, and that classic modelling using price-competitiveness does not manage to explain market share deterioration. Finally, we extend the standard model with nonprice competitiveness, supply indicators, and we introduce an indicator of world trade openness to take into account the emergence of new actors in world trade. JEL classification: F140, F170.

Suggested Citation

  • Marion Cochard, 2008. "Le commerce extérieur français à la dérive ?," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 29-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:reofsp:reof_106_0029
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7o52iohb7k6srk09n2p94ecij is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/c6c7hcjgm915q0m9u9i8r91sb is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1h8j7abjq89cloabnpm33r8i7k is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/6404 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Christophe Blot & Marion Cochard, 2008. "L'énigme des exportations revisitée," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03461842, HAL.
    6. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/1h97uoi1ng8t5q1gqhfd257dam is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Balázs Égert & Rafaƚ Kierzenkowski, 2014. "Exports and Property Prices in France: Are They Connected?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(3), pages 387-409, March.
    8. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7o52iohb7k6srk09n2p94ecij is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Bruno Ducoudré & Eric Heyer, 2014. "Baisse de l'euro et désinflation compétitive," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01093016, HAL.
    10. Département analyse et prévision & Éric Heyer & Marion Cochard & Bruno Ducoudré & Hervé Péléraux, 2014. "France : ajustements graduels. Perspectives 2014-2015 pour l'économie française," Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(4), pages 85-143.
    11. Rafal Kierzenkowski, 2009. "The Challenge of Restoring French Competitiveness," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 720, OECD Publishing.
    12. Céline Antonin & Christophe Blot & Sabine Le Bayon & Catherine Mathieu, 2013. "La quête de la compétitivité ouvre la voie de la déflation," Post-Print hal-03470596, HAL.
    13. Lionel Nesta, 2010. "Commentaire : Désindustrialisation ou mutation industrielle ?," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 438(1), pages 297-301.
    14. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1h97uoi1ng8t5q1gqhfd257dam is not listed on IDEAS
    15. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/1h8j7abjq89cloabnpm33r8i7k is not listed on IDEAS
    16. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/6404 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/c6c7hcjgm915q0m9u9i8r91sb is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    external trade; competitiveness; error correction model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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