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La courbe de Phillips est-elle pertinente pour comprendre le lien entre inflation et chômage ?

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  • Christophe Blot

Abstract

Although the Phillips curve plays an important role in macroeconomic models, empirical studies have often shown that the link between inflation and unemployment is actually weak or even non-existent. This article shows that the Phillips curve remains a relevant framework for analyzing inflation and understanding the inflation-unemployment relationship. The instability of the estimations results both from the difficulties of measuring labor market tensions and inflation expectations, and from the curve's non-linear character. In addition, changes in monetary policy strategy since the 1980s and the globalization of economies may affect the correlation between inflation and unemployment. JEL classification: E31, E32, E37.

Suggested Citation

  • Christophe Blot, 2024. "La courbe de Phillips est-elle pertinente pour comprendre le lien entre inflation et chômage ?," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(1), pages 165-178.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:refaef:ecofi_153_0164
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    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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