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Comment éviter le piège de la dette après la pandémie ?

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  • Olivier Klein

Abstract

There are false leads, and others to consider, but no obvious or easy solution. Among the false leads defended by certain economists is the idea that the debt is sustainable, no matter the amount, for a very extended period of time. Or, by some others, cancelling it. Two opposite solutions. Tax increases as well as a mandatory government bond issue are also two non-solutions that would have adverse effects notably on both supply and demand. Regarding the possible paths for exiting the debt trap through equity, firstly with respect to private debt, measures favouring capital increases by companies are necessary. For the public debt, the central banks will have to be able to continue to roll over the Covid debt for a sufficiently long period. Last but not least, while maintaining policies to support demand until the return of normalised growth, the growth potential must be increased, through the implementation of structural policies, starting with the pension and unemployment reforms. Stronger nominal growth will gradually lead to a reduction in the government debt ratio, through both its numerator and denominator. Classification JEL : E42, E44, F21, F30, G30.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Klein, 2021. "Comment éviter le piège de la dette après la pandémie ?," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(1), pages 281-292.
  • Handle: RePEc:cai:refaef:ecofi_141_0281
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    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General

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