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Exposition aux risques naturels et marchés immobiliers

Author

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  • Amélie Mauroux

Abstract

Casualties and material losses caused by natural catastrophes are mainly driven by geographical patterns and residential choices. Environmental hazards impose a kind of easement to homes, so housing prices should reflect the different hazard levels. Nevertheless, this housing characteristic is random, so agents will make informed choices only if they have a correct perception of the risk. The hedonic price model in uncertainty predicts a price differential between at risk and not at risk homes equal to the expected damages plus a risk premium. The flood hazard discount price estimated on French data, compared to the average cost of flood natural catastrophe damages, suggests that housing market does not or barely capitalize natural hazards, except in the immediate aftermath of a major flooding. The Cat' Nat' insurance system, imperfect information, perception bias and memory effect are possible explanations. Classification JEL: D81, Q54, R21, R52, Q54.

Suggested Citation

  • Amélie Mauroux, 2015. "Exposition aux risques naturels et marchés immobiliers," Revue d'économie financière, Association d'économie financière, vol. 0(1), pages 91-103.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:refaef:ecofi_117_0091
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    Cited by:

    1. Amélie Mauroux, 2015. "L’information préventive améliore-t-elle la perception des risques? Impact de l’Information Acquéreur Locataire sur le prix des logements," Policy Papers 2015.05, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    2. Amélie Mauroux, 2015. "L’information préventive améliore-t-elle la perception des risques? Impact de l’Information Acquéreur Locataire sur le prix des logements," Working Papers 2015.17, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • R52 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Land Use and Other Regulations
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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