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Comportements chartistes et fondamentalistes. Coexistence ou domination alternative sur le marché des changes?

Author

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  • Marie Bessec
  • François-Mathieu Robineau

Abstract

This paper examines the role of chartists and fundamentalists in the foreign exchange market. This question is studied using the Markov-Switching model of Vigfusson that we extend to test for the alternative domination of each group. The tests are applied to the Canadian, Japanese and German-US exchange rates. The results support Vigfusson?s findings. Chartists dominate foreign exchange market during the tranquil phases, whereas fundamentalists drag back the exchange rates to its equilibrium value during the more turbulent periods. Classification JEL : F31.

Suggested Citation

  • Marie Bessec & François-Mathieu Robineau, 2003. "Comportements chartistes et fondamentalistes. Coexistence ou domination alternative sur le marché des changes?," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 54(6), pages 1213-1238.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:recosp:reco_546_1213
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2015. "Expectation formation in the foreign exchange market: a time-varying heterogeneity approach using survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(34-35), pages 3673-3695, July.
    2. Olivier Damette & Stéphane Goutte, 2014. "Tobin tax and trading volume tightening: a reassessment," Working Papers halshs-00926805, HAL.
    3. Olivier Damette & St鰨ane Goutte, 2015. "Tobin tax and trading volume tightening: a reassessment," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(29), pages 3124-3141, June.
    4. Georges Prat & Remzi Uctum, 2014. "Expectation formation in the foreign exchange market: a time-varying heterogeneity approach using survey data," Working Papers hal-04141348, HAL.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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