IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cai/popine/popu_605_0821.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

La baisse de la fécondité en Iran, 1981-1999 : application de la méthode des probabilités d'agrandissement transversales

Author

Listed:
  • Meimanat Hosseini-Chavoshi
  • Peter McDonald
  • Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi

Abstract

Iran has experienced one of the most rapid falls in fertility ever recorded. The observed pattern is one in which fertility has fallen simultaneously in all age groups, in all geographic settings and in all social groups, hence accounting for the rapidity of the decline at the national level. Available single calendar year time trends in the age-based total fertility rate and in age specific fertility rates elicit an interpretation of the fertility decline that is dominated by the influence of cross-sectional events such as the Islamic Revolution and the re-establishment of the family planning program. In this paper, we show that an analysis based on synthetic parity progression ratios provides a much richer interpretation of the trend in period fertility in Iran than does the conventional age-based model. In particular, the parity-duration model better identifies the impact on cross-sectional fertility of changes in the timing of marriage and successive births.

Suggested Citation

  • Meimanat Hosseini-Chavoshi & Peter McDonald & Mohammad Jalal Abbasi-Shavazi, 2006. "La baisse de la fécondité en Iran, 1981-1999 : application de la méthode des probabilités d'agrandissement transversales," Population (french edition), Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED), vol. 61(5), pages 821-839.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_605_0821
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=POPU_605_0821
    Download Restriction: free
    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/revue-population-2006-5-page-821.htm
    Download Restriction: free
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:popine:popu_605_0821. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cairn.info/revue-population.htm .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.