IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cai/meddbu/med_206_0031.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Horizons 2040 : la production de scénarios prospectifs labiles. Les construire, s’en servir, les dépasser

Author

Listed:
  • Jean André Doeuvre

Abstract

Over the past two years, France's tourism development Agency has carried out a significant amount of forward-looking analysis, enabling tourism players to anticipate developments in the main drivers of change. This work, aimed at anticipating the post-Covid upturn, has been extended to include a prospective exploration. 5 major systems covering a total of 32 factors of change were explored. This approach led to the production of 4 scenarios. The dynamism of tourism and its geographical reach are the two axes used to design each scenario. The approach is complemented by quantitative estimates for 8 key indicators of the French tourism economy, and specific analyses for 16 types of tourism. An extensive communication campaign was launched in December 2023. This global forward-looking approach applied to tourism is an invitation to become aware of the major issues at stake in preparing territories and companies to organize the tourism of 2040, with regional and sectoral variations, not forgetting the awareness-raising of young tourism students.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean André Doeuvre, 2024. "Horizons 2040 : la production de scénarios prospectifs labiles. Les construire, s’en servir, les dépasser," Mondes en développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 0(2), pages 31-42.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:meddbu:med_206_0031
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/load_pdf.php?ID_ARTICLE=MED_206_0031
    Download Restriction: restricted
    File URL: http://www.cairn.info/revue-mondes-en-developpement-2024-2-page-31.htm
    Download Restriction: restricted
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cai:meddbu:med_206_0031. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Jean-Baptiste de Vathaire (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cairn.info/revue-mondes-en-developpement.htm .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.