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Ampleur et déterminants des cycles d'activité en Chine

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  • Sandra Poncet
  • Jean Barthélemy

Abstract

Our study examines the amplitude and determinants of the synchronization of business cycles in China. The country?s de facto federalism suggests the importance of coordination between provincial policies. We devote special attention to the influence of provincial autonomy on industrial, tax, and trade policies. Our results indicate that domestic trade and tax coordination promote economic integration and stabilize inter-regional fluctuations. Conversely, we find that heterogeneous international-trade and production structures act as a centrifugal force ultimately harmful to China?s economic cohesion.

Suggested Citation

  • Sandra Poncet & Jean Barthélemy, 2008. "Ampleur et déterminants des cycles d'activité en Chine," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 1-12.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_185_0001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. DIAGNE, Abdoulaye & NIANG, Abdou-Aziz, 2008. "Comouvements économiques dans les pays de la Zone CFA : Une analyse par le modèle factoriel dynamique généralisé," LEG - Document de travail - Economie 2008-08, LEG, Laboratoire d'Economie et de Gestion, CNRS, Université de Bourgogne.

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