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Constitution européenne : redistribution du pouvoir des États au Conseil de l'UE

Author

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  • Frédéric Bobay

Abstract

Using a game theory approach, this article analyses the impact of the European Constitution on the relative power of Member States in the European Union Council (with and without the Turkey membership hypothesis). Compared to previous voting systems, the main effect of the Constitution is to sharply increase the influence of the biggest Member State (Germany or Turkey), as well as that of the smallest Members (Malta, Luxembourg, Cyprus, Estonia, Latvia, Slovenia...). This is a result of a power redistribution from the medium size Member States (Hungary, Belgium, Portugal, Czech Republic, Greece, Netherlands...). Spain and Poland account for a significant lost of influence, considering the high level obtained in the Nice Treaty voting system. Concerning France, there is no impact of the Constitution when compared to Nice on the short term, but the impact becomes significantly negative on the long term under the hypothesis of EU enlargement to Turkey.

Suggested Citation

  • Frédéric Bobay, 2004. "Constitution européenne : redistribution du pouvoir des États au Conseil de l'UE," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 163(2), pages 101-115.
    • Handle: RePEc:cai:ecoldc:ecop_163_0101
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zineb Abidi & Matthieu Leprince & Vincent Merlin, 2020. "Power Inequality in Inter-communal Structures: The Simulated Impact of a Reform in the Case of the Municipalities in Western France," Post-Print halshs-02996998, HAL.
    2. Eloi Laurent & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2007. "What (Economic) Constitution does the EU need?," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2007-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    3. Eloi Laurent & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2006. "Integrity and Efficiency in the EU: The Case against the European economic constitution," Working Papers hal-00972707, HAL.
    4. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/3681 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/3681 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3681 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2281 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3531 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2281 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Eloi Laurent & Jacques Le Cacheux, 2006. "Country size and strategic aspects of structural reforms in the EU," Post-Print hal-00976439, HAL.
    11. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/2281 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3681 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/2281 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/3531 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/3531 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3531 is not listed on IDEAS

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