IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/caa/jnlpse/v55y2009i6id1017-pse.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Climate-driven changes of production regions in Central Europe

Author

Listed:
  • M. Trnka

    (Institute of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University of Agriculture and Forestry Brno, Czech Republic)

  • J. Eitzinger

    (Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria)

  • P. Hlavinka

    (Institute of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University of Agriculture and Forestry Brno, Czech Republic)

  • M. Dubrovský

    (Institute of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University of Agriculture and Forestry Brno, Czech Republic)

  • D. Semerádová

    (Institute of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University of Agriculture and Forestry Brno, Czech Republic)

  • P. Štěpánek

    (Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Brno, Czech Republic)

  • S. Thaler

    (Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria)

  • Z. Žalud

    (Institute of Agrosystems and Bioclimatology, Mendel University of Agriculture and Forestry Brno, Czech Republic)

  • M. Možný

    (Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Brno, Czech Republic)

  • H. Formayer

    (Institute of Meteorology, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria)

Abstract

The presented work complements studies on agroclimatic zoning that were performed during 19th and 20th century in the Czech Republic and Austria and allows estimating the effect of climate change on the spatial distribution of agroclimatic conditions within both countries. The main conclusions of the study are: (1) The combination of increased air temperature and changes in the amount and distribution of precipitation will lead to significant shifts in the agroclimatic zones by the 2020's. The current most productive areas will be reduced and replaced by warmer but drier conditions, which are considered less suitable for rainfed farming. (2) While trends in the changes expected in lowlands are mostly negative (especially for non-irrigated crops), higher elevations might experience improvement in their agroclimatic production potential. However, the production potential of these regions is usually limited by other factors such as the soil quality and terrain accessibility. Additionally, these positive effects might be shortlived, as by the 2050's, even the areas in higher altitudes might experience much drier conditions than nowadays. (3) Dairy-oriented agriculture (based on permanent grassland production) at higher altitudes could suffer through an increased evapotranspiration demand combined with a decrease in precipitation, leading to higher water deficits and yield variations. (4) All above listed changes will most likely occur within less than four decades. The rate of change might be so high that the concept of agroclimatic zoning itself might lose its relevance due to the perpetual change.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Trnka & J. Eitzinger & P. Hlavinka & M. Dubrovský & D. Semerádová & P. Štěpánek & S. Thaler & Z. Žalud & M. Možný & H. Formayer, 2009. "Climate-driven changes of production regions in Central Europe," Plant, Soil and Environment, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 55(6), pages 257-266.
  • Handle: RePEc:caa:jnlpse:v:55:y:2009:i:6:id:1017-pse
    DOI: 10.17221/1017-PSE
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://pse.agriculturejournals.cz/doi/10.17221/1017-PSE.html
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    File URL: http://pse.agriculturejournals.cz/doi/10.17221/1017-PSE.pdf
    Download Restriction: free of charge

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.17221/1017-PSE?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jana Poláková & Anna Maroušková & Josef Holec & Michaela Kolářová & Jaroslava Janků, 2023. "Changes in grassland area in lowlands and marginal uplands: Medium-term differences and potential for carbon farming," Soil and Water Research, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 18(4), pages 236-245.
    2. Jana Poláková & Anna Maroušková & Josef Holec & Michaela Kolářová & Jaroslava Janků, . "Changes in grassland area in lowlands and marginal uplands: Medium-term differences and potential for carbon farming," Soil and Water Research, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 0.
    3. Miroslav Trnka & Jan Balek & Rudolf Brázdil & Martin Dubrovský & Josef Eitzinger & Petr Hlavinka & Filip Chuchma & Martin Možný & Ilja Prášil & Pavel Růžek & Daniela Semerádová & Petr Štěpánek & Pavel, 2021. "Observed changes in the agroclimatic zones in the Czech Republic between 1961 and 2019," Plant, Soil and Environment, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(3), pages 154-163.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:caa:jnlpse:v:55:y:2009:i:6:id:1017-pse. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ivo Andrle (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cazv.cz/en/home/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.