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Long-Run Volatility Memory Dynamics and Inter-Market Linkages in GCC Equity Markets: Application of DCC-FIGARCH Models

Author

Listed:
  • Mohamed Riyath Mohamed Ismail

    (Department of Accountancy and Finance, Faculty of Management and Commerce, 119005 South Eastern University of Sri Lanka , Oluvil, Sri Lanka)

  • Aldabbous Nagham

    (Department of Accounting, College of Business Studies, The Public Authority for Applied Education and Training-Kuwait, Safat, Kuwait)

Abstract

The study investigates volatility persistence, long-term memory and time-varying conditional correlations among the stock markets of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Daily equity index data between 2012 and 2024 were analyzed using univariate fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (FIGARCH) models to examine long-memory behavior and multivariate dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) models to assess conditional correlations between these markets. For each of the GCC equity markets, the analysis highlighted large degrees of long-memory and volatility persistence. Finally, the DCC model shows that strong and dynamic Intermarket links among the GCC, especially between KSA and UAE, exist and reflect significant volatility spillover from good economic ties. This study fills the gap in the literature by providing a comprehensive understanding of long-run volatility memory and inter-market associations in the GCC stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohamed Riyath Mohamed Ismail & Aldabbous Nagham, 2024. "Long-Run Volatility Memory Dynamics and Inter-Market Linkages in GCC Equity Markets: Application of DCC-FIGARCH Models," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 20(3), pages 299-329.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:rmeecf:v:20:y:2024:i:3:p:299-329:n:1003
    DOI: 10.1515/rmeef-2024-0018
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DCC; FIGARCH; GCC; long-run memory; spillovers; volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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