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Doppelte Haltelinie und steigende Pflegebeitragssätze – ein impliziter Bundeszuschuss zur Pflegeversicherung der RentnerInnen

Author

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  • Hagist Christian

    (Lehrstuhl für Wirtschafts- und Sozialpolitik, WHU – Otto Beisheim School of Management, Burgplatz 2, 56179 VallendarGermany)

  • Seuffert Stefan

    (Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Lehrstuhl für Finanzwissenschaft und Sozialpolitik, 79085 FreiburgGermany)

Abstract

The two “stop lines” limiting replacement rate and contribution rate in the German Pension Insurance (GRV) cause a linkage to long-term-care insurance (SPV) such that changes in SPV contribution rates will affect GRV expenditures in the future. Stefan Seuffert and Christian Hagist describe the underlying mechanism and show that a perpetuation of the two “stop lines” after 2025 would be equivalent to the introduction of a federal subsidy to SPV in favor of pensioners. Due to the two “stop lines” the change in social security contribution rates from January 1st, 2019 imply yearly excess expenditures of about 2 billion euros starting in 2024. Due to increasing expenditures in SPV until 2060 a continuation of the two “stop lines” would induce a growing real term implicit federal subsidy to the SPV of up to 9 bn euros per year.

Suggested Citation

  • Hagist Christian & Seuffert Stefan, 2021. "Doppelte Haltelinie und steigende Pflegebeitragssätze – ein impliziter Bundeszuschuss zur Pflegeversicherung der RentnerInnen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 22(1), pages 54-66, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:pewipo:v:22:y:2021:i:1:p:54-66:n:8
    DOI: 10.1515/pwp-2020-0043
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Beitragssatz; Beitragssatzentwicklung; Doppelte Haltelinie; Gesetzliche Rentenversicherung; Rentenausgaben; Rentenniveau; Rentenprojektion; Rentenversicherung; Rentenwert; Soziale Pflegeversicherung;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H51 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Health
    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt

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