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An Alternative to the NFL Draft Pick Value Chart Based upon Player Performance

Author

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  • Schuckers Michael

    (St. Lawrence University)

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the National Football League Pick Value Chart and propose an alternative. The current Pick Value Chart was created approximately 20 years ago and has been used since to determine the value of draft selections for trading of draft selections. For this paper, we analyze the first 255 draft selections for the years 1991 to 2001. As part of our analysis, we consider four non-position dependent metrics to measure and model player performance at each of the first 255 draft selections. We perform a nonparametric regression of each performance metric onto player's selections. A comparison is then made between each fitted line and the Pick Value Chart. Having considered these comparisons, we propose an alternative Pick Value Chart.

Suggested Citation

  • Schuckers Michael, 2011. "An Alternative to the NFL Draft Pick Value Chart Based upon Player Performance," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 7(2), pages 1-14, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:jqsprt:v:7:y:2011:i:2:n:10
    DOI: 10.2202/1559-0410.1329
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    Cited by:

    1. Geoffrey N Tuck & Shane A Richards, 2019. "Risk equivalence as an alternative to balancing mean value when trading draft selections and players in major sporting leagues," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, May.
    2. Jemuel Chandrakumaran, 2022. "An Experimental Method in Juxtaposing Draft Picks and Active Players," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 41(1), pages 68-77, March.
    3. Jemuel Chandrakumaran, 2021. "The AFL Pick Trading Market as a Coasian Utopia," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 22(1), pages 75-84, January.
    4. Jeremy M. Losak & Benjamin J. Posmanick & Raymond D. Sauer, 2024. "On the Value of a Premium College Football Player: Evaluating the Literature," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 25(4), pages 472-506, May.

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