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Will the (German) NAIRU Please Stand Up?

Author

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  • Franz Wolfgang

    (Center of European Economic Research (ZEW),Mannheim, Germany)

Abstract

This paper deals with a critical assessment of the ‘non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment’ (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an easy-to-use analytical instrument: the possibility of a non-vertical Phillips curve, the occurrence of shocks and hysteresis effects, and the (mis-)measurement of important variables, cointegration issues and a time variability of the NAIRU. A new attempt is made to estimate a NAIRU for Germany using direct measures of inflationary expectations. However, by any method, the NAIRU is very hard to determine and subject to considerable arbitrariness.

Suggested Citation

  • Franz Wolfgang, 2005. "Will the (German) NAIRU Please Stand Up?," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 131-153, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:germec:v:6:y:2005:i:2:p:131-153
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-6485.2005.00124.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Jan Gottschalk & Ulrich Fritsche, 2005. "The New Keynesian Model and the Long-Run Vertical Phillips Curve: Does It Hold for Germany?," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 521, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

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