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Monetary Policy Transmission in Canada – A High Frequency Identification Approach

Author

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  • Soosalu Matt

    (6339 PhD Candidate, Carleton University , Ottawa, ON, Canada)

Abstract

I study the effects of monetary policy shocks in Canada on economic and financial variables. With a narrow window around a policy announcement, I create a new set of intraday level, high-frequency monetary policy surprises using the three-month Canadian Bankers’ acceptance rate futures. I use this measure to identify monetary policy shocks as an external instrument in a monthly VAR. Following a 25 basis point contractionary policy shock, I find that the decline in output is more powerful and peaks earlier than previous empirical works show, with a peak decline of 0.5 % points after 18 months. Price level declines are similarly more powerful and earlier, reaching a decline of 0.3 % points after 24 months. In addition, increases in the credit and mortgage spreads indicate the presence of a domestic credit channel of monetary policy transmission for Canada. Finally, I show that the surprise measure is robust to information effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Soosalu Matt, 2024. "Monetary Policy Transmission in Canada – A High Frequency Identification Approach," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(2), pages 781-811.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:24:y:2024:i:2:p:781-811:n:1006
    DOI: 10.1515/bejm-2023-0212
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy surprises; structural VAR; small open economy; monetary policy transmission; high-frequency identification;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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