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Estimating Behavioral Response to the AIDS Epidemic

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  • Auld M. Christopher

    (University of Calgary)

Abstract

The elasticity of risky sexual behavior to changes in local HIV infection prevalence is estimated using a longitudinal survey of the sexual behavior and health of gay men in San Francisco during the 1980s. An average respondent decreases risky behavior by about 5% in response to a 10% increase in disease prevalence. The average response obscures substantial variation across respondents: High-risk people reduce risky behavior less than low-risk people as prevalence increases. This result is consistent with the predictions of theoretical economic epidemiology and has implications for epidemic dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Auld M. Christopher, 2006. "Estimating Behavioral Response to the AIDS Epidemic," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-29.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejeap:v:5:y:2006:i:1:p:29:n:1034
    DOI: 10.2202/1538-0645.1235
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