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Failing Young and Temporary Workers? The Impact of a Disruptive Crisis on a Dual Labour Market

Author

Listed:
  • Nunes Carolina

    (Nova School of Business and Economics, Carcavelos, Portugal)

  • Carvalho Bruno P.

    (Department of Economics, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Getafe, Spain)

  • Pereira dos Santos João

    (RWI – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research, Essen, Germany)

  • Peralta Susana

    (Nova School of Business and Economics, Carcavelos, Portugal)

  • Tavares José

    (Nova School of Business and Economics, Carcavelos, Portugal)

Abstract

We study the impact of the pandemic crisis using monthly data covering the universe of individuals registered as unemployed in mainland Portuguese municipalities, complemented with electronic payments, linked employer–employee data, and furlough records. Event study designs identify a sharp increase in unemployment, driven mostly by termination of temporary contracts, and a decrease in new job placements. With triple difference-in-differences, we show that the effects are stronger in more dual municipal labour markets, i.e. with a higher share of temporary jobs, concentrated in young workers and middle educated individuals. The asymmetries are exacerbated by the duality of the municipal labour market.

Suggested Citation

  • Nunes Carolina & Carvalho Bruno P. & Pereira dos Santos João & Peralta Susana & Tavares José, 2023. "Failing Young and Temporary Workers? The Impact of a Disruptive Crisis on a Dual Labour Market," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 23(2), pages 349-395, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bpj:bejeap:v:23:y:2023:i:2:p:349-395:n:11
    DOI: 10.1515/bejeap-2022-0316
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    Cited by:

    1. Pereira dos Santos, João & Strohmaier, Kristina, 2024. "All That Glitters? Golden Visas and Real Estate," IZA Discussion Papers 16857, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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