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Comovement of Won/Dollar Exchange Rates with Yen/Dollar Exchange Rates Revisited (in Korean)

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  • Keun Yeong Lee

    (Department of Economics, Sungkyunkwan University)

Abstract

The paper investigates how the degree of comovement between yen/dollar and won/dollar exchange rates has changed over time, by estimating a TVP-VAR model with stochastic volatility. According to the empirical results, a comovement phenomenon was consistently increasing between November 1991 and May 2002, while decreasing from November 2004. It came alive from July 2013. Its impact on exports and imports varies depending on Korean trade partners and products, while it generally decreases import changes bigger than export changes. It also has the most positive effect on trade with China. It implies that if a recent comovement trend will be persisting in the near future, Korean trade balance can be improved further.

Suggested Citation

  • Keun Yeong Lee, 2016. "Comovement of Won/Dollar Exchange Rates with Yen/Dollar Exchange Rates Revisited (in Korean)," Economic Analysis (Quarterly), Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea, vol. 22(1), pages 93-126, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bok:journl:v:22:y:2016:i:1:p:93-126
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Comovement; TVP-VAR; Causality; Correlation coefficient;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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