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How are households’ inflation expectations formed?

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  • Rowe, Jeremy

    (Bank of England)

Abstract

Expectations about future inflation are an important factor determining current inflation and therefore the ability of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to meet its 2% inflation target. Households’ inflation expectations are informed by recent perceptions of inflation, particularly at shorter horizons. Wider macroeconomic factors, including the inflation target, also inform households’ inflation expectations, and more so at longer horizons.

Suggested Citation

  • Rowe, Jeremy, 2016. "How are households’ inflation expectations formed?," Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, vol. 56(2), pages 82-86.
    • Handle: RePEc:boe:qbullt:0200
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    File URL: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/quarterly-bulletin/2016/how-are-households-inflation-expectations-formed.pdf?la=en&hash=E1DB0BB92CF8E719D848BC881A40A5EEF0A4C4CE
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    Cited by:

    1. Ray C. Fair, 2019. "Some Important Macro Points," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2165R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 2019.
    2. Kristin Forbes & Lewis Kirkham & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2021. "A Trendy Approach to UK Inflation Dynamics," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(S1), pages 23-75, September.
    3. Yingying Xu & Zhixin Liu & Jingjing Chen & Sultan Salem, 2024. "How official TV news affect public inflation expectations? Evidence from the Chinese national broadcaster China Central Television," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 819-831, January.
    4. Nam, Minho & Go, Minji, 2018. "Nexus between Inflation, Inflation Perceptions and Expectations," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 40(3), pages 45-68.
    5. Dash, Pradyumna & Rohit, Abhishek Kumar & Devaguptapu, Adviti, 2020. "Assessing the (de-)anchoring of households’ long-term inflation expectations in the US," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    6. Ray C. Fair, 2019. "Some Important Macro Points," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2165, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.

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