IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/worlde/v41y2018i3p831-865.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The economic impact of the Trans†Pacific Partnership: What have we learned from CGE simulation?

Author

Listed:
  • John Gilbert
  • Taiji Furusawa
  • Robert Scollay

Abstract

The Trans†Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement, if were it to be successfully implemented, would be one of the largest regional agreements ever seen. It is the only exemplar to date of a “mega†regional†FTA for which negotiations have been successfully concluded, and a landmark in evolving approaches to Asia–Pacific integration. As such, quantitative assessments of its potential effects are of considerable interest. One of the most widely used techniques for evaluating the economic impact of regional trading agreements is numerical simulation with computable general equilibrium, or CGE, models. There have now been a large number of papers written that use CGE methods to analyse the potential economic impact of the TPP agreement under varying theoretical and policy assumptions. In this paper we provide a synthesis of the key results that have emerged from the literature, and introduce some new simulation results of our own to anchor the discussion.

Suggested Citation

  • John Gilbert & Taiji Furusawa & Robert Scollay, 2018. "The economic impact of the Trans†Pacific Partnership: What have we learned from CGE simulation?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(3), pages 831-865, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:41:y:2018:i:3:p:831-865
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.12573
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.12573
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/twec.12573?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mohammad Masudur Rahman & Chanwahn Kim & Prabir De, 2020. "Indo-Pacific cooperation: what do trade simulations indicate?," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Beckman, Jayson & Ivanic, Maros & Shaik, Saleem, 2023. "How bilateral trade deals get in the way of multilateral agreements: Why WTO is marginalized," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 45(5), pages 877-894.
    3. Pao‐Li Chang & Phuong T. B. Nguyen, 2022. "Global value chains and the CPTPP," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(12), pages 3780-3832, December.
    4. Ken Itakura & Hiro Lee, 2023. "Should the United States rejoin the Trans-Pacific trade deal?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 235-255, May.
    5. Zhu, Nina & Wang, Yuqing & Yang, Shuwen & Lyu, Lixing & Gong, Kunyao & Huang, Xinyue & Huang, Siyi, 2024. "Structure characteristics and formation mechanism of the RCEP manufacturing trade network: An ERGM analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 635(C).
    6. Jaewon Jung, 2022. "The Effects of China’s Participation in the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP): A Quantitative Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Chunding Li & Xin Lin & John Whalley, 2020. "Comparing Alternative China and US Arrangements with CPTPP," NBER Working Papers 26877, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Akihito Asano & Michiru Sakane, 2024. "The welfare effects of partial tariff reduction in Japan," Japanese Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 229-252, April.
    9. Itakura, Ken & Lee, Hiro, 2019. "Estimating the Effects of the CPTPP and RCEP in a General Equilibrium Framework with Global Value Chains," Conference papers 333031, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Vickie Siew Hoon Yew & Abul Quasem Al-Amin & Evelyn S. Devadason, 2020. "Labour Market Effects of Non-tariff Measures: A Computable General Equilibrium for the Food Processing Sector in Malaysia," The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, Springer;The Indian Society of Labour Economics (ISLE), vol. 63(3), pages 629-656, September.
    11. Chunding Li & John Whalley, 2021. "Effects of the comprehensive and progressive agreement for trans‐pacific partnership," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5), pages 1312-1337, May.
    12. Muchopa, Chiedza L. & Bahta, Yonas T. & Ogundeji, Abiodun A., 2019. "Tariff rate quota impacts on export market access of South African fruit products into the EU market," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 58(4), April.
    13. Li, Qiaomin & Scollay, Robert & Gilbert, John, 2017. "Analyzing the effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership on FDI in a CGE framework with firm heterogeneity," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 409-420.
    14. Kikuchi, Tomoo & Yanagida, Kensuke & Vo, Huong, 2018. "The effects of Mega-Regional Trade Agreements on Vietnam," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 4-19.
    15. Sen, Rahul & Narayanan, Badri & Srivastava, Sadhana & Khorana, Sangeeta & Iyer, Chidambaran, 2020. "The Long-term Impact of Trade Wars and ‘Make in India on the Indian Economy," Conference papers 330229, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:41:y:2018:i:3:p:831-865. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0378-5920 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.