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When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict: A Closer Look at Conflicted Partisans in the United States

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  • Roosmarijn A. de Geus

Abstract

Objective Most partisan voters in the United States hold biased perceptions of the state of the national economy. Comparatively little is known, however, about voters who hold economic evaluations that conflict with their partisan identification. Methods I use the American National Election Studies from 1980 to 2016 to conduct over time regression analyses of the identity and behavior of conflicted partisans. Results The share of conflicted partisans is substantial, especially during economic recessions. Conflict is associated with weak levels of party identification, higher levels of nonvoting, and lower levels of in‐party voting. Conclusion A closer look at conflicted partisans suggests that partisan bias in economic judgments fluctuates over time and varies among party affiliates. The study further shows that conflict between party affiliation and economic judgments is associated with differential voting and turnout patterns among party identifiers.

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  • Roosmarijn A. de Geus, 2019. "When Partisan Identification and Economic Evaluations Conflict: A Closer Look at Conflicted Partisans in the United States," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 100(5), pages 1638-1650, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:socsci:v:100:y:2019:i:5:p:1638-1650
    DOI: 10.1111/ssqu.12662
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    Cited by:

    1. Geoffrey Propheter, 2023. "Partisanship and Property Tax Redistribution: Evidence From Repealing Colorado's Gallagher Amendment," Public Finance Review, , vol. 51(5), pages 619-648, September.

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