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How robustness can change the desirability of speed limit policy

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  • Kohei Hasui

Abstract

This paper investigates a robust monetary policy under speed limit policy when a central bank fears model misspecification. We reveal several points. First, the persistence of the output gap becomes small with the robust speed limit policy. The low persistence of the output gap contributes to mitigating the variance of the output gap. Second, for a robust policy, social losses are lower under the speed limit policy than under precommitment. Our results suggest that adding the growth of the output gap to the central bank’s objectives is effective when the worst‐case scenario is realized.

Suggested Citation

  • Kohei Hasui, 2021. "How robustness can change the desirability of speed limit policy," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(5), pages 553-570, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:scotjp:v:68:y:2021:i:5:p:553-570
    DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12268
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Leitemo, Kai & Söderström, Ulf, 2008. "Robust Monetary Policy In The New Keynesian Framework," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(S1), pages 126-135, April.
    2. Carl Walsh, 2003. "Speed Limit Policies: The Output Gap and Optimal Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(1), pages 265-278, March.
    3. Henrik Jensen, 2002. "Targeting Nominal Income Growth or Inflation?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 92(4), pages 928-956, September.
    4. Leitemo, Kai & Söderström, Ulf, 2008. "Robust monetary policy in a small open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3218-3252, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ida, Daisuke & Okano, Mitsuhiro, 2023. "Optimal monetary policy delegation in a small-open new Keynesian model with robust control," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).

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