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Statistical Issues in Weather Forecasting

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  • NILS GUSTAFSSON

Abstract

Research and operational applications in weather forecasting are reviewed, with emphasis on statistical issues. It is argued that the deterministic approach has dominated in weather forecasting, although weather forecasting is a probabilistic problem by nature. The reason has been the successful application of numerical weather prediction techniques over the 50 years since the introduction of computers. A gradual change towards utilization of more probabilistic methods has occurred over the last decade; in particular meteorological data assimilation, ensemble forecasting and post‐processing of model output have been influenced by ideas from statistics and control theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Nils Gustafsson, 2002. "Statistical Issues in Weather Forecasting," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 29(2), pages 219-239, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scjsta:v:29:y:2002:i:2:p:219-239
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9469.00281
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