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The bottom 20 percent: early career paths of youth with low grade point average

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  • Jorgen Hansen
  • Nicolai Kristensen

Abstract

Across nations, large proportions of younger birth cohorts obtain no professional qualifications. Using rich administrative data from Denmark and a semi‐structural dynamic approach, we analyze different policies targeted towards young people who leave grade 9 with a grade point average in the bottom quintile. We find that preparatory courses, offered to students who are unable to commence a qualifying degree, have no positive impact on future labor market outcomes. Further, unobserved heterogeneity is more important for this group than are cognitive skills. Our results show that education is a good option for many, but not for all.

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  • Jorgen Hansen & Nicolai Kristensen, 2024. "The bottom 20 percent: early career paths of youth with low grade point average," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 126(4), pages 810-839, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:scandj:v:126:y:2024:i:4:p:810-839
    DOI: 10.1111/sjoe.12562
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