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Measuring the time‐varying effects of fiscal policy on private saving in the process of financial integration

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  • Dooyeon Cho
  • Ju Hyun Pyun

Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of fiscal policy, measured as the extent to which private saving is offset by public saving, in the process of international financial integration. Using extensive panel data for 87 countries over the period 1970–2010, we find that the dynamics for the saving offset are highly nonlinear and time‐varying. While the saving offset has gradually declined in line with rapid financial integration in advanced economies, it has remained broadly stable in less financially integrated emerging and developing economies. This implies that the negative wealth effects of fiscal policy in advanced economies have been smaller owing to higher financial integration, which could help governments reduce their debt burdens through the well‐anchored domestic interest rates at the world level.

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  • Dooyeon Cho & Ju Hyun Pyun, 2020. "Measuring the time‐varying effects of fiscal policy on private saving in the process of financial integration," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 82-104, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:28:y:2020:i:1:p:82-104
    DOI: 10.1111/roie.12442
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    Cited by:

    1. Cho, Dooyeon & Lee, Kyung-woo, 2022. "Population aging and fiscal sustainability: Nonlinear evidence from Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Checherita-Westphal, Cristina & Stechert, Marcel, 2021. "Household saving and fiscal policy: evidence for the euro area from a thick modelling perspective," Working Paper Series 2633, European Central Bank.
    3. Eichler, Stefan & Pyun, Ju Hyun, 2022. "Ricardian equivalence, foreign debt and sovereign default risk," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 21-49.

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