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Noisy information, risk sharing, and international business cycles

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  • Zi‐Yi Guo

Abstract

We introduce a noisy information structure into an otherwise standard international real business cycle model with two countries. When domestic firms observe current foreign technology with some noise, predictions of the model on international correlation can be very different from those of a standard perfect information model. We show that the model can explain: (a) positive output correlation both in complete and incomplete market models, (b) consumption correlation smaller than output correlation with an introduction of information‐constrained consumers, and (c) observation of both positive and negative productivity–hours correlation in two countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Zi‐Yi Guo, 2020. "Noisy information, risk sharing, and international business cycles," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 209-234, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:28:y:2020:i:1:p:209-234
    DOI: 10.1111/roie.12447
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    Cited by:

    1. Michał Brzoza‐Brzezina & Jacek Kotłowski & Grzegorz Wesołowski, 2022. "International information flows, sentiments, and cross‐country business cycle fluctuations," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1110-1147, September.
    2. Luu Huu Duc, 2024. "Discussing Sharing Investment in Vietnam," Business and Economic Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 14(2), pages 1-15, December.

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