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The Dynamics of Temporary Policies in a Small Open Economy

Author

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  • Schubert, Stefan F
  • Turnovsky, Stephen J

Abstract

The paper corrects a subtle, but crucial, conceptual flaw in a solution procedure initially proposed in 1990 by Sen and Turnovsky to analyze anticipated regime changes in small open economies based on the intertemporal optimization of rational forward-looking agents. The problem is its failure to consider the intertemporal solvency of the economy consistently. The paper focuses on temporary shocks, although the procedure also applies to announced future permanent policy changes. Since the issue is generic and relevant to a large class of policy changes, it is important for the intertemporal solvency aspect to be incorporated consistently. The authors show that the seriousness of the error in the previous solution procedure depends upon the specific shock, and two contrasting examples are discussed. Copyright 2002 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Schubert, Stefan F & Turnovsky, Stephen J, 2002. "The Dynamics of Temporary Policies in a Small Open Economy," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(4), pages 604-622, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reviec:v:10:y:2002:i:4:p:604-22
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain, 2015. "Fiscal Shocks In A Two-Sector Open Economy With Endogenous Markups," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(8), pages 1839-1865, December.
    2. Cardi, Olivier, 2007. "Another View Of The J-Curve," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 11(2), pages 153-174, April.
    3. Olivier Cardi & Romain Restout, 2007. "Permanent vs Temporary Fiscal Expansion in a Two-Sector Small Open Economy Model," Working Papers 0720, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    4. Cardi, Olivier & Restout, Romain & Claeys, Peter, 2020. "Imperfect mobility of labor across sectors and fiscal transmission," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    5. CARDI, Oliver & BERTINELLI, Luisito, 2004. "A formal model of krugman’s intuition on the J-curve," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2004043, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    6. Creina Day & Garth Day, 2010. "Taxes, Growth And The Current Account Tick-Curve Effect," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 49(1), pages 13-27, March.
    7. Creina Day & Garth Day, 2007. "Fiscal Reform, Growth and Current Account Dynamics," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2007-485, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    8. Stefan F. Schubert & Juan Gabriel Brida, 2008. "Dynamic Effects of Subsidizing the Tourism Sector," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 57-80, March.
    9. Olivier Cardi & Romain Restout, 2011. "Fiscal shocks in a two sector open economy," Working Papers hal-00567855, HAL.
    10. Olivier Cardi, 2011. "Terms of Trade Shocks and the Non-Monotonic Adjustment of the Current Account," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 103-104, pages 195-221.
    11. Mohsin, Mohammed & Park, Kihyun, 2015. "Monetary policy in a two-sector dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 118-129.
    12. Yasuhiro Nakamoto & Koichi Futagami, 2016. "Dynamic Analysis of a Renewable Resource in a Small Open Economy: The Role of Environmental Policies for the Environment," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 64(3), pages 373-399, July.
    13. Chen Fang & Po-Sheng Lin, 2013. "Traded Bond Denominations, Shock Persistence and Current Account Dynamics: Another Look at the Harberger–Laursen–Metzler Effect," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(4), pages 502-529, October.
    14. Olivier Cardi & Romain Restout, 2014. "Unanticipated vs. Anticipated Tax Reforms in a Two-Sector Open Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 373-406, April.
    15. Jan Hanousek & Evžen Kočenda, 2011. "Foreign News and Spillovers in Emerging European Stock Markets," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 170-188, February.
    16. Stefan F. Schubert & Stephen J. Turnovsky, 2006. "Anticipated Fiscal Policy Changes and Goods Market Adjustments," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 7, pages 135-161, May.
    17. Koichi Futagami & Yasuhiro Nakamoto, 2019. "The impacts of pollution control policies on the pollution in small open economies," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 19-08, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
    18. Olivier Cardi, 2009. "Habit persistence and effectiveness of fiscal policy in an open economy," Working Papers hal-00420138, HAL.
    19. Olivier Cardi, 2007. "The Zero‐root Property: Permanent vs Temporary Terms‐of‐trade Shocks," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 15(4), pages 782-802, September.
    20. Mansoorian, Arman & Mohsin, Mohammed, 2006. "On the employment, investment and current account effects of inflation," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 296-313, September.
    21. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2008:i:45:p:1-16 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Juan Gabriel Brida & Stefan Franz Schubert, 2008. "The Economic Effects Of Advertising On Tourism Demand," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(45), pages 1-16.

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