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Estimating the Effect of Crime Risk on Property Values and Time on Market: Evidence from Megan's Law in Virginia

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  • Scott Wentland
  • Bennie Waller
  • Raymond Brastow

Abstract

type="main"> We examine neighborhood externalities that arise from the perceived risk associated with the proximity of a registered sex offender's residence. We find large negative externality effects on a property's price and liquidity, employing empirical techniques that include a fixed-effects OLS model, a correction for sample selection bias and censoring using a Heckman treatment, and a three-stage least-squares model to account for simultaneity bias in the joint determination of a home's sale price and liquidity. Additionally, we find amplified effects for homes with more bedrooms (a proxy for children) and if the nearby offender is designated by the state as “violent.”

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  • Scott Wentland & Bennie Waller & Raymond Brastow, 2014. "Estimating the Effect of Crime Risk on Property Values and Time on Market: Evidence from Megan's Law in Virginia," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 42(1), pages 223-251, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:42:y:2014:i:1:p:223-251
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1540-6229.12028
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    Cited by:

    1. Wentland, Scott A. & Ancona, Zachary H. & Bagstad, Kenneth J. & Boyd, James & Hass, Julie L. & Gindelsky, Marina & Moulton, Jeremy G., 2020. "Accounting for land in the United States: Integrating physical land cover, land use, and monetary valuation," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
    2. John C Navarro & Matt Ruther, 2020. "A geospatial analysis between the sale prices of single-family properties and the presence of registered sex offenders in Jefferson County, Kentucky," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(5), pages 944-958, April.
    3. Xun Bian & Justin C. Contat & Bennie D. Waller & Scott A. Wentland, 2023. "Why Disclose Less Information? Toward Resolving a Disclosure Puzzle in the Housing Market," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 443-486, February.
    4. Xun Bian & Raymond Brastow & Bennie Waller & Scott Wentland, 2021. "Foreclosure Externalities and Home Liquidity," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(3), pages 876-916, September.
    5. Sidorovykh, Aleksandra, 2015. "Estimation of effects of transport accessibility on housing prices," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 37(1), pages 43-56.
    6. Geoffrey K. Turnbull & Bennie D. Waller & Scott A. Wentland, 2022. "Mitigating agency costs in the housing market," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(3), pages 829-861, September.
    7. Irwin, Nicholas & Wolf, David, 2022. "Time is money: Water quality's impact on home liquidity and property values," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    8. Nicholas B. Irwin & Mitchell R. Livy, 2022. "Price and Liquidity Dynamics for Single and Multi-Family Homes during Housing Market Shocks," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 22-47, July.

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