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Income and Appraised Values: A Reexamination of the FRC Returns Data

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  • William C. Wheaton
  • Raymond G. Torto

Abstract

This paper compares the income of those office properties that are included in the FRC index, with the appraised values that are used to determine the index's appreciation component. We find that the appraised value of the portfolio was a constant multiple of its current income, over the 1978–1988 period. This seems at odds with what modern valuation theory would suggest, since both nominal interest rates and several measures of real rates varied widely over the sample. An alternate interpretation of our results is that the appraised values were based on a set of expectations about future income growth, that turned out over the period, to be continually at odds with respect to actual income.

Suggested Citation

  • William C. Wheaton & Raymond G. Torto, 1989. "Income and Appraised Values: A Reexamination of the FRC Returns Data," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 17(4), pages 439-449, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:17:y:1989:i:4:p:439-449
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00502
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Roger G. Ibbotson & Laurence B. Siegel, 1984. "Real Estate Returns: A Comparison with Other Investments," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 12(3), pages 219-242, September.
    2. Shiller, Robert J, 1981. "Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 421-436, June.
    3. Hoag, James W, 1980. "Towards Indices of Real Estate Value and Return," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(2), pages 569-580, May.
    4. David Hartzell & John Hekman & Mike Miles, 1986. "Diversification Categories in Investment Real Estate," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 14(2), pages 230-254, June.
    5. Mike Miles & Tom Mc Cue, 1982. "Historic Returns and Institutional Real Estate Portfolios," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 10(2), pages 184-199, June.
    6. Mike Miles & Tom McCue, 1984. "Commercial Real Estate Returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 12(3), pages 355-377, September.
    7. David Hartzell & John S. Hekman & Mike E. Miles, 1987. "Real Estate Returns and Inflation," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 617-637, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Youguo Liang & Arjun Chatrath & Willard McIntosh, 1996. "Apartment REITs and Apartment Real Estate," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 11(3), pages 277-290.
    2. Raymond Y. C. Tse & James R. Webb, 1999. "Dynamic Equilibrium of the Housing Market," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 36(13), pages 2361-2373, December.
    3. Allen C. Goodman & Brent C Smith, 2023. "Medical Service Quality and Office Rent Premiums: Reputation Spillovers," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(3), pages 680-708, April.

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