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Costs of civil war and fragile states in Africa

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  • John Paul Dunne
  • Nan Tian

Abstract

This paper provides an analysis of the costs of conflict for the countries that are most affected by it, namely low‐income and fragile countries in Africa. It provides an analysis of the impact of conflict on economic growth using a panel of African countries and investigates the differences between those categorized as fragile and others. It finds that there are significant differences, with fragile countries most affected by conflict. It also considers the potential spillover effects of conflict and finds that fragile states also suffer more from conflicts within neighboring states. Finally, it considers whether the results are robust to endogeneity of the conflict variable. Using instrumental variable estimation confirms the negative effect of conflict and the larger effects on fragile states and gives even larger coefficient estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • John Paul Dunne & Nan Tian, 2019. "Costs of civil war and fragile states in Africa," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 1220-1237, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:23:y:2019:i:3:p:1220-1237
    DOI: 10.1111/rode.12612
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    Cited by:

    1. Ongo Nkoa, Bruno Emmanuel & Song, Jacques Simon & Minkoue Bikoula, Brice, 2024. "Natural resource rents in developing countries: Is the positive influence on the fragilities real?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Ijirshar, Victor Ushahemba & Andohol, Jerome, 2022. "Investment-growth nexus in West Africa: An assessment of whether fragility matter," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1-17.
    3. Crippa, Andrea & d'Agostino, Giorgio & Dunne, Paul & Pieroni, Luca, 2022. "Conflict as a Cause of Migration," MPRA Paper 112327, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. d'Agostino, Giorgio & Dunne, J. Paul & Pieroni, Luca, 2024. "Food and Peace? Exploring the Link between Conflict and Food Insecurity in Africa," MPRA Paper 122247, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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