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A Parametric Failure Time Model Of International Return Migration

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  • Brigitte S. Waldorf
  • Adrian Esparza

Abstract

ABSTRACT International return migration is conceptualized and modeled as the outcome of two opposing forces: assimilation into the host society and attachment to the home country. Assimilation is a cumulative learning process that, over time, lowers the tendency to return; attachment levels are less predictable: they might decrease, increase, or remain constant over time. From this proposition, we derive a generalized gamma function for the probability density function of the duration of stay, allowing for increasing, decreasing, and constant hazards of return. The applicability of the model is explored using the case of foreign migrants returning to their home countries from West Germany.

Suggested Citation

  • Brigitte S. Waldorf & Adrian Esparza, 1991. "A Parametric Failure Time Model Of International Return Migration," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 70(4), pages 419-438, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:presci:v:70:y:1991:i:4:p:419-438
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1435-5597.1991.tb01741.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Duncan, Natasha T. & Waldorf, Brigitte S., 2010. "High Skilled Immigrant Recruitment And The Global Economic Crisis: The Effects Of Immigration Policies," Working papers 58417, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    2. Waldorf, Brigitte, 2002. "Spatial hazard models: limitations and applications," ERSA conference papers ersa02p497, European Regional Science Association.
    3. Minh Tran, Ngoc Thi & Cameron, Michael P. & Poot, Jacques, 2017. "International Migration and Institutional Quality in the Home Country: It Matters Where You Go and How Long You Stay!," IZA Discussion Papers 10945, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    4. Bijwaard, Govert, 2009. "Labour Market Status and Migration Dynamics," IZA Discussion Papers 4530, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Jack DeWaard & James Raymer, 2012. "The temporal dynamics of international migration in Europe: Recent trends," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 26(21), pages 543-592.
    6. Ngoc Thi Minh Tran & Michael P. Cameron & Jacques Poot, 2021. "Perception of Institutional Quality Difference and Return Migration Intention: The Case of the Vietnamese Diaspora," RF Berlin - CReAM Discussion Paper Series 2114, Rockwool Foundation Berlin (RF Berlin) - Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM).
    7. B Waldorf, 1996. "The Internal Dynamic of International Migration Systems," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 28(4), pages 631-650, April.
    8. Ngoc Thi Minh Tran & Michael P. Cameron & Jacques Poot, 2018. "Return or Not Return? The Role of Home-Country Institutional Quality in Vietnamese Migrants’ Return Intentions," Working Papers in Economics 18/04, University of Waikato.
    9. Ngoc Thi Minh Tran & Michael P. Cameron & Jacques Poot, 2021. "How Robust Is the Evidence on the Impact of Diasporas on Institutional Quality in Home Countries?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 126-152, February.
    10. Verena McClain & Brigitte S. Waldorf, 2021. "Longitudinal methods in regional science: a review," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 145-160, April.
    11. Brigitte Waldorf, 2003. "Spatial Patterns and Processes in a Longitudinal Framework," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 26(3), pages 269-288, July.
    12. Adrian Esparza & Andrew J. Krmenec, 1994. "Producer Services Trade in City Systems: Evidence from Chicago," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 31(1), pages 29-46, February.
    13. Bilgili, Ö. & Siegel, M., 2014. "To return permanently or to return temporarily?: Explaining migrants' intentions," MERIT Working Papers 2014-041, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    14. McClain, Verena & Waldorf, Brigitte, 2017. "Borrowing From The Demographer's Toolbox: Longitudinal Methods in Regional Science," Working papers 264970, Purdue University, Department of Agricultural Economics.
    15. Ngoc Thi Minh Tran & Michael P. Cameron & Jacques Poot, 2022. "Perception of institutional quality differences and intention of migrants to return home: a case study of Vietnamese diaspora," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 213-237, February.

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