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Inflation Sensitivity To Monetary Policy: What Has Changed since the Early 1980s?

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  • Roberto Pancrazi
  • Marija Vukotić

Abstract

Have conventional monetary policy instruments maintained the same ability to accommodate undesirable effects of shocks throughout the postwar period? Or has the changed economic environment characterizing the last 30 years diminished the sensitivity of macroeconomic volatility to systematic changes in the conduct of monetary policy? The answer is no to the first question and, consequently, yes to the second question. We estimate a medium‐scale New‐Keynesian model in two subsamples, 1955–79 and 1984–2012, and find that the sensitivity of inflation variance to changes in conventional monetary policy has declined. We document that the changed properties of the labour market largely contributed to this decline.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Pancrazi & Marija Vukotić, 2019. "Inflation Sensitivity To Monetary Policy: What Has Changed since the Early 1980s?," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 81(2), pages 412-436, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:81:y:2019:i:2:p:412-436
    DOI: 10.1111/obes.12272
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    Cited by:

    1. Fasolo, Angelo M. & Araujo, Eurilton & Jorge, Marcos Valli & Kornelius, Alexandre & Marinho, Leonardo Sousa Gomes, 2024. "Brazilian macroeconomic dynamics redux: Shocks, frictions, and unemployment in SAMBA model," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(2).
    2. Benchimol, Jonathan & Qureshi, Irfan, 2020. "Time-varying money demand and real balance effects," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 197-211.
    3. Ibrahim N Ouattara & Balakissa Kone, 2023. "The effect of exchange rate on the money demand: evidence from ECOWAS countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 43(4), pages 1565-1580.

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