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Variable Selection in Cross-Section Regressions: Comparisons and Extensions

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  • Thomas Deckers
  • Christoph Hanck

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="obes12048-abs-0001"> Cross-section regressions often examine many candidate regressors. We use multiple testing procedures (MTPs) controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) — the expected ratio of false to all rejections — so as not to erroneously select variables because many tests were performed, yielding a simple model selection procedure. Simulations comparing the MTPs with other common model selection criteria demonstrate that, for conventional tuning parameters of the selection procedures, only MTPs consistently control the FDR, but have slightly lower power. In an empirical application to growth, MTPs and PcGets/Autometrics identify similar growth determinants, which differ somewhat from those obtained by Bayesian Model Averaging.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas Deckers & Christoph Hanck, 2014. "Variable Selection in Cross-Section Regressions: Comparisons and Extensions," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(6), pages 841-873, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:76:y:2014:i:6:p:841-873
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/obes.2014.76.issue-6
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    Cited by:

    1. Christoph Hanck, 2016. "I just ran two trillion regressions," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 2037-2042.
    2. Rockey, James & Temple, Jonathan, 2016. "Growth econometrics for agnostics and true believers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 86-102.
    3. repec:zbw:rwirep:0506 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Mark F. J. Steel, 2020. "Model Averaging and Its Use in Economics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 58(3), pages 644-719, September.
    5. Baur, Dirk G. & Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2014. "Gold Price Forecasts in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework – Have the Determinants Changed Over Time?," Ruhr Economic Papers 506, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    6. Baur, Dirk G. & Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2016. "A melting pot — Gold price forecasts under model and parameter uncertainty," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 282-291.
    7. Dirk G. Baur & Joscha Beckmann & Robert Czudaj, 2014. "Gold Price Forecasts in a Dynamic Model Averaging Framework – Have the Determinants Changed Over Time?," Ruhr Economic Papers 0506, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen.
    8. Becker William & Paruolo Paolo & Saltelli Andrea, 2021. "Variable Selection in Regression Models Using Global Sensitivity Analysis," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(2), pages 187-233, July.

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