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The Estimation of Single Equation Rational Expectations Models: An Application to UK Consumption

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  • Robertson, Donald
  • Scott, Andrew

Abstract

Rational expectations models in which the forecast horizon is not equal to the sampling interval may result in serially correlated errors. Valid inference requires adjustment to the variance-covariance matrix. This paper outlines SEREM (Statistical Estimation of Rational Expectations Models)--a computer package written in GAUSS that computes a number of estimators that have been proposed to circumvent this problem. An application of these estimators to U.K. consumption suggests that the intertemporal elasticity of substitution for consumption is numerically close to, but significantly different from, zero. Copyright 1993 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

Suggested Citation

  • Robertson, Donald & Scott, Andrew, 1993. "The Estimation of Single Equation Rational Expectations Models: An Application to UK Consumption," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 55(2), pages 237-244, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:55:y:1993:i:2:p:237-44
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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Groom & David Maddison Pr., 2019. "New Estimates of the Elasticity of Marginal Utility for the UK," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 72(4), pages 1155-1182, April.

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