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Models of Primary Price Indices

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  • Winters, L Alan

Abstract

Equations are estimated to explain and predict the price indices for three b road groups of primary commodities. The questions of principal intere st are the effect of economic activity on prices and the dynamics of the adjustment of prices to external shocks. The results suggest that adjustment patterns are quite complex and long lived, but that in th e long run levels of world economic activity do not effect the prices of primaries relative to manufacturers. The equations are compared w ith those deriving from three alternative models of primary prices dr awn from the literature, and are found to be preferable in nearly eve ry respect. Copyright 1987 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

Suggested Citation

  • Winters, L Alan, 1987. "Models of Primary Price Indices," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 49(3), pages 307-322, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:obuest:v:49:y:1987:i:3:p:307-22
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    Cited by:

    1. Hua, Ping, 1998. "On Primary Commodity Prices: The Impact of Macroeconomic/Monetary Shocks," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 20(6), pages 767-790, December.
    2. David Sapsford, 1990. "Primary Commodity Prices and the Terms of Trade," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 66(4), pages 342-356, December.
    3. Walter C. Labys & Alfred Maizels, 1990. "Commodity Price Fluctuations and Macro-economic Adjustments in the Developed Countries," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-1990-088, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Cristini, Annalisa, 1995. "Primary commodity prices and the OECD economic performance," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 83-98, January.

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