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Combining Cumulative Sum Change‐Point Detection Tests for Assessing the Stationarity of Univariate Time Series

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  • Axel Bücher
  • Jean‐David Fermanian
  • Ivan Kojadinovic

Abstract

We derive tests of stationarity for univariate time series by combining change‐point tests sensitive to changes in the contemporary distribution with tests sensitive to changes in the serial dependence. The proposed approach relies on a general procedure for combining dependent tests based on resampling. After proving the asymptotic validity of the combining procedure under the conjunction of null hypotheses and investigating its consistency, we study rank‐based tests of stationarity by combining cumulative sum change‐point tests based on the contemporary empirical distribution function and on the empirical autocopula at a given lag. Extensions based on tests solely focusing on second‐order characteristics are proposed next. The finite‐sample behaviors of all the derived statistical procedures for assessing stationarity are investigated in large‐scale Monte Carlo experiments, and illustrations on two real datasets are provided. Extensions to multi‐variate time series are briefly discussed as well.

Suggested Citation

  • Axel Bücher & Jean‐David Fermanian & Ivan Kojadinovic, 2019. "Combining Cumulative Sum Change‐Point Detection Tests for Assessing the Stationarity of Univariate Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1), pages 124-150, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:40:y:2019:i:1:p:124-150
    DOI: 10.1111/jtsa.12431
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    Cited by:

    1. Horváth, Lajos & Rice, Gregory & Zhao, Yuqian, 2023. "Testing for changes in linear models using weighted residuals," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    2. Cho, Haeran & Kirch, Claudia, 2024. "Data segmentation algorithms: Univariate mean change and beyond," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 76-95.
    3. Lee, Sangyeol & Meintanis, Simos G. & Pretorius, Charl, 2022. "Monitoring procedures for strict stationarity based on the multivariate characteristic function," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    4. Ghislain Verdier, 2024. "Goodness-of-fit procedure for gamma processes," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 39(5), pages 2623-2650, July.
    5. Axel Bücher & Holger Dette & Florian Heinrichs, 2023. "A portmanteau-type test for detecting serial correlation in locally stationary functional time series," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 255-278, July.
    6. Lee, Taewook & Baek, Changryong, 2020. "Block wild bootstrap-based CUSUM tests robust to high persistence and misspecification," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).

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