IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jtsera/v35y2014i6p517-535.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust Fitting Of Inarch Models

Author

Listed:
  • Hanan Elsaied
  • Roland Fried

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="jtsa12079-abs-0001"> We discuss robust M-estimation of INARCH models for count time series. These models assume the observation at each point in time to follow a Poisson distribution conditionally on the past, with the conditional mean being a linear function of previous observations. This simple linear structure allows us to transfer M-estimators for autoregressive models to this situation, with some simplifications being possible because the conditional variance given the past equals the conditional mean. We investigate the performance of the resulting generalized M-estimators using simulations. The usefulness of the proposed methods is illustrated by real data examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Hanan Elsaied & Roland Fried, 2014. "Robust Fitting Of Inarch Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(6), pages 517-535, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:35:y:2014:i:6:p:517-535
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/jtsa.12079
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fokianos, Konstantinos & Rahbek, Anders & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2009. "Poisson Autoregression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(488), pages 1430-1439.
    2. Konstantinos Fokianos & Roland Fried, 2010. "Interventions in INGARCH processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 210-225, May.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    4. Doukhan, Paul & Fokianos, Konstantinos & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2012. "On weak dependence conditions for Poisson autoregressions," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(5), pages 942-948.
    5. René Ferland & Alain Latour & Driss Oraichi, 2006. "Integer‐Valued GARCH Process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(6), pages 923-942, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hanan Elsaied & Roland Fried, 2021. "On robust estimation of negative binomial INARCH models," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 79(2), pages 137-158, August.
    2. Fukang Zhu & Lei Shi & Shuangzhe Liu, 2015. "Influence diagnostics in log-linear integer-valued GARCH models," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 99(3), pages 311-335, July.
    3. Fokianos, Konstantinos & Fried, Roland & Kharin, Yuriy & Voloshko, Valeriy, 2022. "Statistical analysis of multivariate discrete-valued time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    4. Li, Qi & Lian, Heng & Zhu, Fukang, 2016. "Robust closed-form estimators for the integer-valued GARCH (1,1) model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 209-225.
    5. Stella Kitromilidou & Konstantinos Fokianos, 2016. "Mallows’ quasi-likelihood estimation for log-linear Poisson autoregressions," Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 337-361, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cui, Yunwei & Wu, Rongning, 2016. "On conditional maximum likelihood estimation for INGARCH(p,q) models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 1-7.
    2. Vasiliki Christou & Konstantinos Fokianos, 2014. "Quasi-Likelihood Inference For Negative Binomial Time Series Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(1), pages 55-78, January.
    3. Youngmi Lee & Sangyeol Lee, 2019. "CUSUM test for general nonlinear integer-valued GARCH models: comparison study," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(5), pages 1033-1057, October.
    4. Xinyang Wang & Dehui Wang & Kai Yang, 2021. "Integer-valued time series model order shrinkage and selection via penalized quasi-likelihood approach," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 84(5), pages 713-750, July.
    5. Jiwon Kang & Sangyeol Lee, 2014. "Parameter Change Test for Poisson Autoregressive Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 41(4), pages 1136-1152, December.
    6. Youngmi Lee & Sangyeol Lee & Dag Tjøstheim, 2018. "Asymptotic normality and parameter change test for bivariate Poisson INGARCH models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(1), pages 52-69, March.
    7. Kang, Jiwon & Lee, Sangyeol, 2014. "Minimum density power divergence estimator for Poisson autoregressive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 44-56.
    8. Huiyu Mao & Fukang Zhu & Yan Cui, 2020. "A generalized mixture integer-valued GARCH model," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 29(3), pages 527-552, September.
    9. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "On an integer-valued stochastic intensity model for time series of counts," MPRA Paper 105406, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Konstantinos Fokianos & Roland Fried, 2010. "Interventions in INGARCH processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 210-225, May.
    11. William Kengne & Isidore S. Ngongo, 2022. "Inference for nonstationary time series of counts with application to change-point problems," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 74(4), pages 801-835, August.
    12. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos & Touche, Nassim, 2019. "Integer-valued stochastic volatility," MPRA Paper 91962, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 04 Feb 2019.
    13. Yan Cui & Fukang Zhu, 2018. "A new bivariate integer-valued GARCH model allowing for negative cross-correlation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(2), pages 428-452, June.
    14. Moysiadis, Theodoros & Fokianos, Konstantinos, 2014. "On binary and categorical time series models with feedback," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 209-228.
    15. Chen, Cathy W.S. & Lee, Sangyeol, 2016. "Generalized Poisson autoregressive models for time series of counts," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 51-67.
    16. Robert Jung & A. Tremayne, 2011. "Useful models for time series of counts or simply wrong ones?," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 95(1), pages 59-91, March.
    17. Douc, R. & Doukhan, P. & Moulines, E., 2013. "Ergodicity of observation-driven time series models and consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 123(7), pages 2620-2647.
    18. Cui, Yunwei & Zheng, Qi, 2017. "Conditional maximum likelihood estimation for a class of observation-driven time series models for count data," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 193-201.
    19. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Francq, Christian, 2021. "Count And Duration Time Series With Equal Conditional Stochastic And Mean Orders," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 37(2), pages 248-280, April.
    20. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Bendjeddou, Sara, 2016. "Negative binomial quasi-likelihood inference for general integer-valued time series models," MPRA Paper 76574, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Feb 2017.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:35:y:2014:i:6:p:517-535. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0143-9782 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.