IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jtsera/v2y1981i4p221-232.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Finite Sample Prediction And Overdifferencing

Author

Listed:
  • A. C. Harvey

Abstract

. If the process generating a time series contains a deterministic component the differencing operations carried out to achieve stationarity may lead to an ARMA model which is strictly noninvertible. This is known as overdifferencing but it is shown here that overdifferencing need not have serious implications for prediction provided that a finite sample prediction procedure is used. The proposed method is based on the Kalman filter and it allows both the optimal predictors and their mean square errors to be computed.

Suggested Citation

  • A. C. Harvey, 1981. "Finite Sample Prediction And Overdifferencing," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(4), pages 221-232, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:2:y:1981:i:4:p:221-232
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.1981.tb00323.x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1981.tb00323.x
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/j.1467-9892.1981.tb00323.x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ismael Sanchez & Daniel Pena, 2001. "Properties of Predictors in Overdifferenced Nearly Nonstationary Autoregression," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(1), pages 45-66, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:2:y:1981:i:4:p:221-232. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0143-9782 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.