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Existence and Stochastic Structure of a Non‐negative Integer‐valued Autoregressive Process

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  • Alain Latour

Abstract

A simple criterion is given for the existence of a generalized integer‐valued autoregressive (GINAR(p)) process. We show that the GINAR(p) process is nothing but an AR(p) process. The spectral density gives a good insight into the stochastic structure of a GINAR(p) model. The spectral representation of the process is explicitly given. The estimation of parameters of the process is also discussed and clarifies some results presented by Du and Li (The integer‐valued autoregressive (INAR(p)) model. J. Times Ser. Anal., 12 (1991), 129‐‐42). Finally, we describe the number of seizures of an epileptic patient using a model of this class.

Suggested Citation

  • Alain Latour, 1998. "Existence and Stochastic Structure of a Non‐negative Integer‐valued Autoregressive Process," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(4), pages 439-455, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:19:y:1998:i:4:p:439-455
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9892.00102
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    Cited by:

    1. Vladica S. Stojanović & Hassan S. Bakouch & Eugen Ljajko & Najla Qarmalah, 2023. "Zero-and-One Integer-Valued AR(1) Time Series with Power Series Innovations and Probability Generating Function Estimation Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-25, April.
    2. Masoomeh Forughi & Zohreh Shishebor & Atefeh Zamani, 2022. "Portmanteau tests for generalized integer-valued autoregressive time series models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1163-1185, August.
    3. Feike C. Drost & Ramon Van Den Akker & Bas J. M. Werker, 2008. "Local asymptotic normality and efficient estimation for INAR(p) models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(5), pages 783-801, September.
    4. Weiß, Christian H. & Zhu, Fukang, 2024. "Conditional-mean multiplicative operator models for count time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Drost, Feike C. & van den Akker, Ramon & Werker, Bas J.M., 2008. "Note on integer-valued bilinear time series models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(8), pages 992-996, June.
    6. Kai Yang & Han Li & Dehui Wang & Chenhui Zhang, 2021. "Random coefficients integer-valued threshold autoregressive processes driven by logistic regression," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 105(4), pages 533-557, December.
    7. Kai Yang & Yao Kang & Dehui Wang & Han Li & Yajing Diao, 2019. "Modeling overdispersed or underdispersed count data with generalized Poisson integer-valued autoregressive processes," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 82(7), pages 863-889, October.
    8. Lívio Tito & Bourguignon Marcelo & Nascimento Fernando, 2020. "INAR(1) Processes with Inflated-parameter Generalized Power Series Innovations," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 12(2), pages 1-27, July.
    9. Leisen, Fabrizio & Mena, Ramsés H. & Palma, Freddy & Rossini, Luca, 2019. "On a flexible construction of a negative binomial model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 1-8.
    10. Mawuli Segnon, 2022. "Strict stationarity of Poisson integer-valued ARCH processes of order infinity," CQE Working Papers 10222, Center for Quantitative Economics (CQE), University of Muenster.
    11. Mirko Armillotta & Paolo Gorgi, 2023. "Pseudo-variance quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of semi-parametric time series models," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-054/III, Tinbergen Institute.
    12. Yang Lu, 2021. "The predictive distributions of thinning‐based count processes," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(1), pages 42-67, March.
    13. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Gouveia, Sonia & Scotto, Manuel, 2023. "Random multiplication versus random sum: auto-regressive-like models with integer-valued random inputs," MPRA Paper 119518, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Dec 2023.
    14. Carallo, Giulia & Casarin, Roberto & Robert, Christian P., 2024. "Generalized Poisson difference autoregressive processes," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 1359-1390.
    15. Daniel L. R. Orozco & Lucas O. F. Sales & Luz M. Z. Fernández & André L. S. Pinho, 2021. "A new mixed first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 105(4), pages 559-580, December.
    16. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Scotto, Manuel, 2022. "A multiplicative thinning-based integer-valued GARCH model," MPRA Paper 112475, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Isabel Silva & M. Eduarda Silva & Isabel Pereira & Nélia Silva, 2005. "Replicated INAR(1) Processes," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 517-542, December.

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