IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jorssb/v76y2014i5p949-975.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Split sample methods for constructing confidence intervals for binomial and Poisson parameters

Author

Listed:
  • Geoffrey Decrouez
  • Peter Hall

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="rssb12051-abs-0001"> We introduce a new method for improving the coverage accuracy of confidence intervals for means of lattice distributions. The technique can be applied very generally to enhance existing approaches, although we consider it in greatest detail in the context of estimating a binomial proportion or a Poisson mean, where it is particularly effective. The method is motivated by a simple theoretical result, which shows that, by splitting the original sample of size n into two parts, of sizes n 1 and n 2 = n − n 1 , and basing the confidence procedure on the average of the means of these two subsamples, the highly oscillatory behaviour of coverage error, as a function of n, is largely removed. Perhaps surprisingly, this approach does not increase confidence interval width; usually the width is slightly reduced. Contrary to what might be expected, our new method performs well when it is used to modify confidence intervals based on existing techniques that already perform very well—it typically improves significantly their coverage accuracy. Each application of the split sample method to an existing confidence interval procedure results in a new technique.

Suggested Citation

  • Geoffrey Decrouez & Peter Hall, 2014. "Split sample methods for constructing confidence intervals for binomial and Poisson parameters," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(5), pages 949-975, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:76:y:2014:i:5:p:949-975
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/rssb.2014.76.issue-5
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gonzalo, Jesús & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2024. "Out-of-sample predictability in predictive regressions with many predictor candidates," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1166-1178.
    2. Geoffrey Decrouez & Andrew Robinson, 2016. "Measuring the Inspectorate: Point and Interval Estimates for Performance Indicators," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 21(2), pages 382-401, June.
    3. Jean-Yves Pitarakis, 2023. "Direct Multi-Step Forecast based Comparison of Nested Models via an Encompassing Test," Papers 2312.16099, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jorssb:v:76:y:2014:i:5:p:949-975. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rssssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.