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Market Power And Price Movements Over The Business Cycle

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  • Bart J. Wilson
  • Stanley S. Reynolds

Abstract

This paper develops and tests implications of an oligopoly‐pricing model. The model predicts that during a demand expansion, the short run competitive price is a pure strategy Nash equilibrium but in a recession, firms set prices above the competitive price. Thus, price markups over the competitive price are countercyclical. Prices set during a recession are more variable than prices set in expansions because firms employ mixed strategy pricing in recessions. The empirical analysis utilizes Hamilton's time series switching regime filter to test the predictions of the model. Fourteen out of fifteen industries have fluctuations consistent with this oligopoly‐pricing model.

Suggested Citation

  • Bart J. Wilson & Stanley S. Reynolds, 2005. "Market Power And Price Movements Over The Business Cycle," Journal of Industrial Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(2), pages 145-174, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jindec:v:53:y:2005:i:2:p:145-174
    DOI: 10.1111/j.0022-1821.2005.00250.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Bretschger, Lucas & Schaefer, Andreas, 2017. "Dirty history versus clean expectations: Can energy policies provide momentum for growth?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 170-190.
    2. Kyle Hyndman, 2004. "Status Quo Effects In Bargaining: An Empirical Analysis of OPEC," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 285, Econometric Society.
    3. Marcelo Sánchez, 2011. "Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 8(3), pages 247-273, September.
    4. Yossi Spiegel & Konrad O. Stahl, 2014. "Industry Structure and Pricing over the Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series 4848, CESifo.
    5. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3dn0o0jvtp972r5lmr1fd29k5c is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Pierre Cahuc & Stéphane Carcillo & Thomas Le Barbanchon, 2019. "The Effectiveness of Hiring Credits," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 86(2), pages 593-626.
    7. Stahl, Konrad & Spiegel, Yossi, 2014. "Industry structure and pricing over the business cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 10009, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Sánchez, Marcelo, 2008. "Oil shocks and endogenous markups: results from an estimated euro area DSGE model," Working Paper Series 860, European Central Bank.
    9. Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Sebastian Sanin-Restrepo & Cesar E. Tamayo & Oscar M. Valencia, 2023. "Bank market power and firm finance: evidence from bank and loan-level data," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(6), pages 4629-4660, December.
    10. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2rcfhie1t29t8ri11cvv60qku0 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Pierre Cahuc & Stéphane Carcillo & Thomas Le Barbanchon, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Hiring Credits," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03393157, HAL.
    12. Even Comfort Hvinden, 2019. "OPEC's crude game," Working Papers No 10/2019, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    13. Pierre Cahuc & Stéphane Carcillo & Thomas Le Barbanchon, 2017. "The Effectiveness of Hiring Credits," SciencePo Working papers hal-03393157, HAL.
    14. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3dn0o0jvtp972r5lmr1fd29k5c is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Hyndman, Kyle, 2008. "Disagreement in bargaining: An empirical analysis of OPEC," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 811-828, May.
    16. Pierre Cahuc & Stéphane Carcillo & Thomas Le Barbanchon, 2019. "The Effectiveness of Hiring Credits," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/2rcfhie1t29, Sciences Po.
    17. Spiegel, Yossi & Stahl, Konrad, 2014. "Industry structure and pricing over the business cycle," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-039, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.

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