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An Analysis of the Recommendations of the "Superstar" Money Managers at Barron's Annual Roundtable

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  • Desai, Hemang
  • Jain, Prem C

Abstract

The authors examine the performance of common stock recommendations made by prominent money managers at Barron's Annual Roundtable from 1968 to 1991. To avoid survivorship bias, they examine the performance of recommendations by all the participants. The buy recommendations earn significant abnormal returns of 1.91 percent from the recommendation day to the publication day, a period of about fourteen days. However, the abnormal returns are essentially zero for one to three year postpublication day holding periods. Thus, an individual investing according to the Roundtable recommendations published in in Barron's would not benefit from the advice. Copyright 1995 by American Finance Association.

Suggested Citation

  • Desai, Hemang & Jain, Prem C, 1995. "An Analysis of the Recommendations of the "Superstar" Money Managers at Barron's Annual Roundtable," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1257-1273, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:50:y:1995:i:4:p:1257-73
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    Cited by:

    1. Hackethal, Andreas & Haliassos, Michael & Jappelli, Tullio, 2012. "Financial advisors: A case of babysitters?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 509-524.
    2. Jonathan Reuter & Eric Zitzewitz, 2006. "Do Ads Influence Editors? Advertising and Bias in the Financial Media," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 121(1), pages 197-227.
    3. Michael Cooper & Huseyin Gulen, 2006. "Is Time-Series-Based Predictability Evident in Real Time?," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 79(3), pages 1263-1292, May.
    4. Will J. Armstrong & Egemen Genc & Marno Verbeek, 2019. "Going for Gold: An Analysis of Morningstar Analyst Ratings," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 2310-2327, May.
    5. Jonathan E. Alevy & Michael K. Price, 2017. "Advice in the marketplace: a laboratory study," Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 20(1), pages 156-180, March.
    6. Zhang, Yuzhao & Liu, Haifei, 2021. "Stock market reactions to social media: Evidence from WeChat recommendations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 562(C).
    7. Deutscher, Christian & Neuberg, Lena & Thiem, Stefan, 2023. "Who’s afraid of the GOATs? - Shadow effects of tennis superstars," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    8. Steven Crawford & Wesley Gray & Bryan R. Johnson & Richard A. Price, 2018. "What Motivates Buy-Side Analysts to Share Recommendations Online?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(6), pages 2574-2589, June.
    9. Enrico Maria Cervellati & Riccardo Ferretti & Pierpaolo Pattitoni, 2011. "Market Reaction to Second-Hand News: Attention Grabbing or Information Dissemination," Centro Studi di Banca e Finanza (CEFIN) (Center for Studies in Banking and Finance) 0024, Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia, Dipartimento di Economia "Marco Biagi".
    10. Gray, Wesley & Kern, Andrew, 2008. "Fundamental Value Investors: Characteristics and Performance," MPRA Paper 12620, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Barakat, Ahmed & Ashby, Simon & Fenn, Paul, 2018. "The reputational effects of analysts' stock recommendations and credit ratings: Evidence from operational risk announcements in the financial industry," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-22.
    12. Andersson, Patric, 2004. "How well do financial experts perform? A review of empirical research on performance of analysts, day-traders, forecasters, fund managers, investors, and stockbrokers," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 2004:9, Stockholm School of Economics.

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